Re: I learned this from Death Donkey
Kit,
I've been rethinking. I think I was wrong to think it's a definate river bet-raise. I think it's close. I think there is obv a certain point where a player will not put another raise in (he will call or bet-call) when he doesn't hold the nuts. Perhaps you have found this point in this villain on this river, and have exploited it perfectly. After all, a straight from you must look likely after you 3-bet the turn and call his cap, and if he held a set, he has now missed his FH. He might now be realising that he doesn't in fact hold the nuts/lock hand. This point of non-raising in another player would often be difficult to know, sometimes even if we knew that player's precise hand. Draws on the board could certainly persuade them to raise when he is unsure and close to the non-raising point (this could not happen on the river) but I think you overestimate this element in your explanation for this hand. I reckon it's an interesting and close decision.
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