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Old 09-24-2007, 09:04 AM
MCS MCS is offline
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Default Re: High Stakes Poker thread (9/17)

[ QUOTE ]
Lol that shove is so damn retarted.
I mean sure if you like flip coins 30/70 all day long I'm game but dont claim its a "good strategy" to do so.

[/ QUOTE ]

What if I'm 30/70 but I'm getting paid way more than even money when I win?

I haven't thought about it that much, but I think the pot was like $115,000 after Hellmuth's raise, so Baxter put in $60,000 to win $145,000. He's often more than 60/205 (29%) to win the pot. In that case, folding is out, and calling makes no sense because the money is going in on the turn anyway.

A set is the only hand where Baxter is -EV here, and even then it's okay since he's getting only slightly bad odds, and he has implied tilt odds plus first priority in doing business with Hellmuth. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

This is kind of back of the envelope, but it seems clear to me that the shove is not "so damn retarted," though I know that everyone likes to take really extreme positions on every single play.
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