Re: What are the odds of pocket aces beating pocket aces?
Actually he asked 3 questions.
1) The title question.
It's not specific about who's AA wins or loses, so the answer is more like 4.34619%
2) How often will one opponent have AA if you have AA.
either 1/1225 or N/1225 depending on how you interpret "one opponent"
3) A combination of #2, and how often will the board show 4 of one suit given that both of you have AA.
if you assume "4 flush" means 4 on the board, and the A making a 5th.
(4*12*11*10*9*36*5)/(48*47*46*45*44*1225) = 0.003398%
or
(n*4*12*11*10*9*36*5)/(48*47*46*45*44*1225) = n*0.003398%
again depending on how you interpret "one opponent".
if you assume 4 flush to mean came up short of making a flush.
(12*11*10*36*35*20*4)/(48*47*46*45*44*1225) = 0.05286110%
or
(n*12*11*10*36*35*20*4)/(48*47*46*45*44*1225) = n*0.05286110%
again depending on how you interpret "one opponent".
#3 doesn't ask how often your AA will win or lose.
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