Re: HU SNG\'s - Win Streaks (LC)
Nibster , everything may be possible .
If there were a heads up tournament with 131 072 participants and only one winner ,then he would have to win 17 in a row to win the event .
If you're a 60% winner , then the probability you win exactly 17 games at some point after playing 1000 games is ~
2*0.0000677 + 981*0.00002708=2.67%
You can see how rare this is . Even if you're a good player , there is only about a 2.67% chance that you will win 17 in a row in the first 1000 games .
After 10000 games and using p=0.6 , the approximate probability is
2*0000677+ 9981*.00002708~27%
Even after 10 000 games , there is only about a 27% chance of winning 17 in a row .
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