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Old 09-23-2007, 10:52 AM
Khumalo Khumalo is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 82
Default Re: $10 NL KK in trouble on flop

PS. I tried constructing a range vaguely consistent with villain's sequence of bets and raises pre and post and came up with [AA(20% of the time), QQ(25%), JJ(25%), AQ(25%), AJ(25%), 44, QJ, AdTd, AdJd] which is a little conservative (I gave him only two flush draws) and yet somewhat generous in discounting top and second set. Your equity when he shoves is ~40%. You're getting ~1.6:1, which means you need ~38% equity to call. So it's close, and it seems a call is okay, though very dependent on how you tweak the range I invented.
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