[SheetWise]

[ QUOTE ]
If we assume independence it should be :

(1/5001)^2*5000/5001 + 5000/5001*(1/5001)^2*5000/5001 +
(5000/5001)*(1/5001)^2 = 0.0000001199

ie ppq,qppq,qpp

[/ QUOTE ]

Since the statement and question don't mention anything about the other two players, I dont see anything wrong with using -

(1/5001)^2*3 = 0.00000011995201