Re: NL50 CRAI on flop by a good player
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3) It seems like his range should be something like:
33, 44, 66, 5h6h, Ah6h, 6h7h, Ah5h, Ah7h, AhKh, AhQh
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He's not calling with 56 or 67 if he's good. He doesn't know UTG is going to call your raise. Those are not good HU hands against a preflop aggressor OOP.
I think you need to add TT(maybe)JJ,QQ to his range. I don't really think the small suited aces are good calls from the SB either when it looks like it is going to be HU. AK and AQ should repop it IMO,
I probably call this, and pray he has a smaller over pair. I think if you had less invested it would be a fold.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
20,790 games 0.031 secs 670,645 games/sec
Board: 3h 6d 4h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.594% 53.02% 01.58% 11022 328.00 { KdKs }
Hand 1: 45.406% 43.83% 01.58% 9112 328.00 { QQ-JJ, 66, 44-33 }
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Dont you think that QQ and JJ would have repopped it too? And if were putting those hands in his range shouldnt we include AA as well?
The more I think about it the more it seems like low pocket pairs are the kinds of hands he should have in this situation.
Im pretty sure that he isnt putting in the third bet with JJ for all of his chips on this flop. Remember, this is a good player and he knows who I am.
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