[4CardStraight]

Hand1 Most live tournaments 3 bets are extremely tight ranges. 4 bets? ungodly tight. Against complete unknowns at a live table third hand I think this can be a muck. Against some players this is a push, and its not very close. If they are wearing internet gear, I might push.

Hand 2: I think I raise the flop, I sure dont want to see a raise behind me. I would like to rep a strong ace, possibly aces up, I did raise preflop, I might take it down here, and I surely then will get to see both cards if only the donk bet calls.

Hand 3: Depends. Push or fold. Id push here if i felt I had decent fold equity and I needed chips to make a run into the money. If were coming close to the money and whatnot I think this is an ok push. I usually probably fold here, but its a tough spot. I really think its thin either way, if its a table I can open push at and get fold equity next level, I think I pass and wait to open push. If its a table that respects the raise pre, I might push here and hope for folds or a coinflip with overlay vs hijack. I think its reasonable that hijack has a hand like AQ/AK and will be forced to call even if the rest fold, that can be a real disaster here.

Id say theres enough in the pot to push, and take the risk. Heck we might go three ways with underpairs!

Hand 0: 37.482% 37.39% 00.09% 2758595 6791.33 { AJo }
Hand 1: 17.738% 17.65% 00.09% 1301957 6791.33 { 66 }
Hand 2: 44.780% 44.69% 00.09% 3297258 6792.33 { 88 }

If UTG is autocalling with any two, I think this is pretty bad, AJo just isnt strong enough, cause we know hijack will go along for the ride. Even if we give them somewhat broad ranges like 15% and 12% its not looking good.

Hand 0: 29.274% 25.08% 04.19% 1163156 194403.00 { AJo }
Hand 1: 34.006% 31.40% 02.61% 1455867 121191.17 { 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 36.720% 33.41% 03.32% 1549121 153890.00 { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }

600 dead money, 3k*3 = 9600*.30= Negative EV.

Just as a gut check AJo is a good hand to open raise from late position, or open push with a moderately short, and a good hand to call a very shortie push with, and other than that, It can go in the muck.


4Card