Re: I play so so weakly
Are stats over a reliable sample size? If so, I think we can put Villain on a pretty tight range (and we probably should do that vs. unknown too). I'm not too concerned about the flush--more concerned about AA/KK/QQ. (AK [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and AQ [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] are both impossible. AJ [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] is possible, but isn't super likely in a tight 3betting range.) AA and KK are rather unlikely, given that two A's and two K's are accounted for. QQ seems plausible, but many Villains would have wanted to protect against a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]/a J/a T at some point before the river.
IMO, you're splitting with AK, beating AQ, or beating a bluff-happy JJ/TT often enough on the river to call. You only need to be good 1 in 3 times to make a call +EV.
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