[iggymcfly]

All right, I finally got this matched at a decent price:

Texas A&M at Miami -2.5 (Risk 1.54u to win 1.47u)
Basically, I do think A&M's a little better talent wise, but the matchups are really favorable for Miami as they have a very good run defense with an extremely vulnerable secondary and A&M loves to run the ball continuously. On the other side of the ball, A&M's run defense is ranked 67th (worse than their pass D), so I think that the Canes should be able to pound the ball even with their lack of a passing attack.

Also, from a 'fade the public' standpoint, everyone saw Miami get blown up by Oklahoma (by their passing game more specifically), and much fewer watched the Aggies nearly get beat by Fresno on FSN. Add in a little ranked dog vs. unranked favorite and I'm thinking the squares are all over A&M here. I really like Miami and I think there's solid value on this play.