Re: STTF SNG->cash thread
ok, my thought process...
Preflop: My thought process is kinda weak. I'm not exactly sure, but if I had to guess I'd say I'd been very quiet with 3-betting. When I get called. He mostly has pairs, and maybe something like AK/AQ. A lot of these guys over defend against 3-bets, even oop. But, I don't have that specific read here. It's also important to note that I run somewhere around 27/22/3.
Flop: I'll often just check this flop. But, I figure he has AK/AQ here enough that a c-bet isn't bad. I figure it I'm called, he has a PP and I'm done with the hand.
The min c/r was just so fishy to me. I do believe he has a better hand them me. I think his entire preflop calling range is ahead of A9. So, obviously folding is not bad and probably the best line.
However, I also don't think a really strong hand c/r. I think this bet was a combination of protecting a hand that is at risk to overs coming and cheaply seeing where he's at. A donk on this flop would have got that done much cheaper for him.
So, based on my thoughts above, I figured a float would be effective and was planning on shoving if checked to. Of course, that is what happened.
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