Re: General advice on opening with 15bbish
I agree with the general idea that raise/folding is bad, but at tables with smaller standard raises (2.5x-ish) the stack size at which raise/folding becomes bad is slightly lower.
Raise 2.5x with 2.5x in the pot, and someone shoves 15x, you need 12.5/32.5 = 38% equity to call. There are plenty of hands that don't have 38% equity against that shoving range, and aren't profitable open pushes, but the 2.5x steal may still be profitable. Compare to raising 3x where you are getting closer to 2-1 (12/32.5 = 37%). Even so, raising 3x and folding to 15x can be correct with some hands (provided the open steal is profitable). With 13-14x, not so much. With 10-12x, it's terrible.
The line at which raise/fold is dominated (for all hands) by raise/call, open push, or open fold is lower when
- the table/opponent(s) behind are tighter reraisers
- the open raise size is lower
Overall, the advice to play tight with this stack size is generally correct.
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