Re: 50NL - Overpair on paired board facing a raise, call or shove
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You really think he limps from c/o w TT+?
Sorry maybe I dont understand your post, but are you saying folding? Because his c/r = 9x?
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Read the whole post again, its all there - My flowing thoughts, in order without reading responses.
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Lol - sorry - I read your whole post WHILST posting, and was still too lazy to comment properly.
I just feel that folding means you put him on 9x and that is only a small part of his range.
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Think about it more mate, he's 40+VPIP, so he's playing nearly 50% of hands right.
two 9's on the flop mean 2 left in the unknown deck.
Just because there are 2 left, doesn't mean they are a small part of his range.
Remember 40+VPIP = J9, Q9, 98, 9T, Maybe 79s, K9, A9.
You've got to multiway the J(4) * the 9 (2) = 8 combos of J9 alone.
Compare this to TT(which as i said, he probably NEVER limps with 16PFR) = 6 combos.
So j9 alone beats that.
Hopefully its clear now that its actually a MASSIVE part of his nonbluffing range.
However we've gotta add in air/slowplayed AA-TT/Others.
small pot, 1pair must also be highlighted.
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