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Old 09-18-2007, 10:42 PM
Fat Nicky Fat Nicky is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: StartWeight-260, Current-238
Posts: 5,017
Default 200nl - AK flops TP and faces heat from aggro opponent.

villain here is 32/25/2.3. haven't played much with him so no history. he raises c-bets 10% and folds 55%.

his showdown stats are 30/45.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$1/$2 Blinds
5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $128.40
BB: $200.00
UTG: $60.40
Hero (CO): $246.70
BTN: $405.80

Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $7.00</font>, BTN calls $7.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($17) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $14.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $28.00</font>, Hero calls $14.00

Turn: ($73) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $35.00</font>, Hero calls $35.00

River: ($143) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $100.00</font>, Hero ????

i feel like he 3-bets strong Aces pre-flop most of the time. i guess he could be capable of cold-calling w/suited As pre-flop.

i can't really see him having a draw based on flop and turn action. draws usually don't min-raise then bet small on future streets. i especially don't think and aggro opponent would do this as they usually bet play their draws stronger when they wanna get aggressive with them.

i called the turn because he bet so little, thought maybe he could be trying to get to showdown cheaply w/a medium A or AJ or something. his river bet is strong though, and once I call the river, i can't see him thinking he can bluff me off my hand here. but alas, his aggro stats and shoddy showdown stats make me wanna call here.

thoughts?
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