[Sherman]

I figure he is raising about 6.6% or 77+,AJs+,AQo+.

He is calling Hero's shove with 3.8% of that, or 58% of his range 99+,AQs+,AKo+.

So we have 42% FE. Multiply that times the size of the pot.

We are 33% against his calling range:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.755% 65.62% 01.14% 343809864 5963178.00 { 99+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 1: 33.245% 32.11% 01.14% 168228804 5963178.00 { 99 }

So multiply that times the size of the pot when he calls our shove.

I don't have the pot sizes memorized, but I am pretty sure with this much FE, and this much equity against his calling range, we are +EV on a shove.

Sherman

Edit: To point out that my original raising range is based on his 12% PFR and then accounting for him being UTG, I tightened his range by about 1/2.