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Old 09-18-2007, 01:37 AM
vmacosta vmacosta is offline
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Location: Bay Area
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Default Re: 10/20:River nut flush,villain leads out and I just call on paired

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I disagree with everyone on the flop and the river.

On the flop, there was a bet-out and a call. I'd be wary of one of them having a queen. Plus you just calling might leave them unsuspecting that you have a flush draw.

On the river, I don't see why people think SB will overcall. He checked the turn and just called, so he doesn't have a Q and he is unlikely to have a K. Now a 3rd diamond comes and he checks again. If he didn't like his hand very much on the turn, he surely can't like it very much now.

BB checked and called twice; that sure doesn't look like a Q to me. Now he bets out on the river. His hand thus most likely improved on the river; unless it's pocket tens, hero has him beat and thus a raise is called for.

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This is dead-on and I think you get 3-bet by AJ/worse flush about as often as SB overcalls too.
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