Re: 3 card Monty, and the incorrect poker math
If I picked the ace to begin with (33.3%) the one you don't place face up will have a 0% chance of being the ace.
If I don't pick the ace to begin with (66.7%), the one you don't place face up will have a 100% chance of being the ace.
looks to me like the second face down card has a 66.7% chance of being the ace, not 50%.
looks to me like you answered it incorrectly even when it wasn't a poker game.
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