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Old 09-17-2007, 06:20 PM
JARID JARID is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 824
Default Re: 99 against UTG raise $4.40

[ QUOTE ]
Against hands you are likely to get called by, 88+; AQ+, you are at about 41%. You have FE against KJ, KQ, AJo, A10s. If you don't have FE against AJo, then that's fine.



[/ QUOTE ]

Since villian is UTG it is incomplete to put such a wide range on him and assess our equity based on the percentage of times villian folds his trash.

Having fold equity against KJ, ATs, KQ and 77 is good, but it is not as significant since it is a lesser percentage of time that villians are raising with these hands. In other words, say villian probably raises JJ+/AQ+ 100% of the time, but only raises ATs 25% and 72o 5% of the time to "mix it up".

We cant then say his range is JJ+,ATs+,72o and stick it in pokerstove.

It is the reverse effect of someone opening in late position where the frequency of trashy hands is so much higher, thus we apply our fold equity so much more liberally.

In short, this is like TT+/AQo+/AQs+ most of the time and everything else a much smaller though not insignificant percentage of the time.

Jarid
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