Re: Hand in which I fold TPSK for one bet on the river
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Do you think A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K9, 99 and AJ are in villains range? He'd probably raise some of those hands on the flop though.
I can't fold the river.
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I don't think a guy like this ever plays 99 like this. I don't think he raises K9 pf. AsTs is possible but largely insignificant (1 combo). AJ is possible. That's the hand I thought of on the river. In the end, I just don't think this guy would call the flop here and then raise one of the worst turns enough.
I understand the point about low pfr guys not always raise the top X%, but I think there's a difference between a 40/10 type and a 50/3 type. 50/3 guys raise when they tilt or think they're mixing it up or w/e. They limp big hands because they're afraid of getting sucked out on or missing. IMO 40/10 guys just don't get that those 10-20% hands are often for value. Often they are full ring converts. They think they need to be looser short handed so they limp more, but raise the same.
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