Re: Understanding Variance vs Questioning your ability..(hands/graph/l
hmmm, looks like you're confusing variance with overplaying hands. let me give my comments.
1: i probably wouldn't lead the turn, but if you have good reason to believe he'll call down with marginal made hands/draws then this is fine. however, once that jack rivers i'd seriously consider shutting down, or at the very least not leading, as jack/x is within that marginal hands/draws range that he is often on.
2: bad call, you're getting 18.2-13.7 which is not enough for your draw.
3: marginal spot, you can go either way with a fold/call to the river raise depending on your perception of villain.
4: i'd probably 3bet to like 8/9, and if you say villain is playing semi lag-ish then its probably a call, but it's marginal.
5: what the hell is that flop lead?
6: raising the turn (TT hand) turns your hand into a bluff, and usually only receives further action from hands that are beating you. just call and try to get some value on the river.
7: w/t guys are the only types of people i fold this to, and i still have a hard time. i can't fault you for felting this, but against guys that don't give a lot of action, you're often beat in this spot.
8: the ak hand, eh i can't really find a fold until the river. the turn is fine, though i usually raise against guys that love random aces.
|