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Old 09-12-2007, 10:02 AM
Poker CPA Poker CPA is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 813
Default Re: Got him in the middle

So sevenfold what's E's range here, given that Seat 4 is a solid player, its a high ante game and he has an extremely agressive betting pattern with a King in the door. Somehow, someway Seat 4 has the case King covered (maybe collusion with hand that was folded on 3rd). So what are his likely hole cards, given his betting pattern on 4th and especially 5th.

And BTW what are the odds that two players having wired Aces in the same hand. How about E's thought process that seat 4 has put him on a pair of Aces? Then how likely is Seat 4 going to have Aces himself???????????

By EV range, I mean whats the highest and lowest EV our HERO faces, that makes sense when coupled with Seat 4's,(a solid stud player) betting pattern. It appears that you have selected the most favorable EV calculations to determine a "significant equity edge". In my opinion, EV is a blend of various likely hands, best case and worse case. The worse case is very nasty and is a lot more probable than two players having wired Aces. In addition, doesn't Broadway cards include Aces, maybe the Ace of spades?

Do you think your following comment applies to a solid stud player, who "gets reasonable value for his hands", two streets in a row?

"In situations like this, where someone starts with Ks, and someone else makes open Ks, the original player sometimes goes berserk at the audacity of the other playing making 'his' hand, and bets and bets and bets (I know you don't have three Ks) regardless of what the third player in the hand might be doing."
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