[argy1182]

There is a high probability that you are beat at this point. Instead of examining this point, let's look at what you could have done earlier in the hand to avoid this problem. You raised 3.5BB preflop. Let's change that to 5-6BB raise pf. Now our potsized flop bet makes our commitment strategy clear. Considering the high VPIP of the villain, you really want to commit when you are getting the best of it. He'll call that big PF bet more often than you think and you'll be in a great situation postflop.