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Old 09-11-2007, 03:29 PM
Darkfolder Darkfolder is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 547
Default Re: 3/6 hand against Leatherass

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If I did the math right, his river bet is $450, that means you have to be good 60% of the time. I don't know.. after you call the turn he's gotta figure you're either beating Ax or on draw, and when he shoves the river straight card I don't think he's bluffing more than 40%. I think his range here like 50% 98, 20% set, 20% AT/JT or worse made hand, 10% bluff. Good fold.

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60%? You never need to be right more than 50% of the time to call a riverbet.
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