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Old 09-09-2007, 02:10 AM
ymu ymu is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,606
Default Re: Dynamic edges based on skill differential *AND* fold equity

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I may be missing your point, but don't you have to produce a call scenario with the same $EV as the push scenario if you want to build an argument here? Otherwise, it just collapses to "push loose, call tight".

It's not at all clear to me that b) will necessarily be a +$EV call in a lot of situations, let alone of the same value as a).

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Heres a quick example:


Not quite 60/40s but you get the idea. Assuming perfect reads which situation is better?

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Thanks. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] But it's not the calcs that bother me, it's the pertinence of the original scenario. I think it needs to be comparing like with like in order to be used to build an argument.

To answer your question, having a perfect read in both cases distorts the answer a bit - pushing is lower variance but calling might be better for the hourly rate. But you never have a perfect read, so I'll take the push, thanks. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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