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Old 09-09-2007, 01:00 AM
jukofyork jukofyork is offline
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Default Re: Dynamic edges based on skill differential *AND* fold equity

[ QUOTE ]
I may be missing your point, but don't you have to produce a call scenario with the same $EV as the push scenario if you want to build an argument here? Otherwise, it just collapses to "push loose, call tight".

It's not at all clear to me that b) will necessarily be a +$EV call in a lot of situations, let alone of the same value as a).

[/ QUOTE ]
The example was just intended to show the effect of calling with no fold equity vs pushing with lots (iff you have a significant advantage over your opponents).

For example: suppose you expect to be able to make 1% of the prizepool in profit after passing on a +0.3% push/call, then using the 60/40 example from the OP:

Pushing: 0.3 - 0.06*1 = +0.24%
Calling: 0.3 - 0.4*1 = -0.1%

The push is still +EV and hardly changes because you are risking very little of your expected future profits, whereas the call becomes -EV because of the 40% chance of busting.

Juk [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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