View Single Post
  #261  
Old 09-08-2007, 07:38 PM
mrbaseball mrbaseball is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: shortstacked on the bubble
Posts: 2,622
Default Re: The details of my Big Bet against Krispy Kreme

[ QUOTE ]
just wikied put condor and have a basic idea what you are doing but could you explain this in more detail please?


[/ QUOTE ]

Just an option spread with 4 strikes where you go long short short long. In this instance buy the 50 put sell the 45 and 40 put and buy the 35 put. What you want with this particular spread is a move to the middle of it, basically the 40-45 range. If that happens the spread should do nicely. It closed Friday at 55 cents and if it got into the middle (depending on when) it could easily triple or quadruple. Best case would be between 40 and 45 on expiration day which would mean it was worth 5 bucks or about an 800% return. But if you could do it at 55 cents I think it looks like a nice cheap shot. But with the low trading volumes I expect executing the trade would be a nightmare. Best way would be to buy the 50/45 put spread and then sell the 40/35 put spread. But with the low volume it would be difficult to get it on without paying up too much.

It's also a pretty big move from where it is right now but in this environment it could easily happen. All you can lose is what you payed for it if it doesn't go anywhere near the 50 or below.
Reply With Quote