Re: 50NL; AA vs. known 2+2\'er
The two points that mostly stand out to me about this hand are that,
1) I don't really know this villain in particular, but I do know that a 17/13 can definitely show up with more hands than just 22-88 here, especially with 4-betting history. He has position. He can have SCs, he can have TT-JJ some % of the time, and I would be surprised if he absolutely never has AQ.
2) Whatever his range is, and I think it's a lot wider than you say, it is silly to think that he folds everything to a standard cbet on that dry flop, or even to a 2nd barrel (since you probably fire a 2nd barrel on a board like that with some frequency). It is silly because your line is based on giving him credit for firing at least 2 barrels when checked to. But if he's aggro enough to do that, he's not just folding everything when you start betting.
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