Re: 3-1 pot odds but are my odds of winning 4-1?
Judging by the size of the pot (if my maths is right: 9000+1200+4000+9*25=14425) they are playing 9-handed.
I'd almost always call this.
i did some rough math that may help. if you assumed that 70% of the time UTG has KK+ and the remaining 30% you are ahead, which i think is a conservative estimate of how often you are ahead here then:
if you are ahead:
(0.3*0.8*14425)-(0.3*0.2*5000)=3162
if you are behind:
(0.7*0.2*14425)-(0.7*0.8*5000)=-780.5
so according to my math on average you win 2381.5 here. sounds like an easy call providing my maths is correct (please feel free to correct it if its not).
and
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