[Xylocain]

Just as a note I think there is some bias from Vils raise floating around in the thread. I think this would be a clear bet if action is cut before hero acts on the river so the discussion should be between b/c and b/f and I think we're good 1 in 8 for reasons discussed. This could very well be an overplayed Ax that just got there or a bluff.

People with a vpip of 50 likes to play a lot because playing is fun and they also like to bluff a lot in bad spots because... bluffing a TAG is fun.

If you call you have to be right 1 in 8. If you call and are only right 1 in 16 this is a 0.5 BB mistake. If you fold incorrectly 1 in 4 you have made an 4 BB mistake.

just my 2, hope I got the numbers rite.