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Old 09-05-2007, 01:14 AM
Kimbell175113 Kimbell175113 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: The art of losing isn\'t hard to master.
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Default Re: Probability Question / Proof Needed (a toughie!)

The coin thing, though, doesn't have to rest upon the coin being fair or being 50/50 in the long run. Even if the coin is certain to be biased, it's still 50/50 for us because we don't know which way it's biased and neither heads nor tails is inherently more likely to be so.

I think that may be analogous to the Pascal's wager arguments (this is related to the debate between bluebassman and wtfsvi in the faq thread). Sure it could be that infinite reward awaits believers in Christianity, but it could also be the same for FSMers, and unless you think you have information that makes one more likely...
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