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Old 09-04-2007, 07:28 PM
Quicksilvre Quicksilvre is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Clinging to the binomial theorem like a drunk to a lamppost
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Default Re: Possible east coast hurricane this weekend

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Anyway, one of the services to which I subscribe -- who is ridiculously accurate about this kind of thing -- is calling for the storm of the GA coast right now to develop into a hurricane, hit around Hatteras by Sunday morning, and track up the east coast to off Long Island.

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That's quite a bit for something that hasn't even been declared a tropical depression yet. May I ask what your source is specifically?

I ask because this is all I get at NHC:

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A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN
BERMUDA AND THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. THIS SYSTEM IS SLOWLY
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...AND WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CURRENTLY ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
IT MOVES SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY.

[/ QUOTE ]

Additionally, it was my impression that computer models often give conflicting information. Here they are, in case anyone else wants to take a look:

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