check my math: KK preflop
Hi
are there any mistakes in my calculation?
(ATC = any two cards but aces.
I know that KK doesn't have 80% equity vs any two.)
Here is the problem:
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eff stacks 100BB
Hero KK
Preflop:
Hero: Raise to 5BB
Villian: Reraise to 15BB
Hero: 3bet 50BB
Villian: 4bet All in
Lets assume:
KK equity vs AA is 20%
KK equity vs ATC is 80%
EV vs AA:
0.2 * 1.5 s - 0.8 * 0.5 s = -0.1 s
EV vs ATC:
0.8 * 1.5 s - 0.2 * 0.5 s = +1.1 s
(s = stacks)
If we call 12 times and villian has ATC once we are 0EV.
This means if 1/12 of his range is ATC we have to call.
1/12 = 0.083 or 8.3%
100 % - 8.3 % = 91.7%
If we are 90% sure that villian has AA a call is +EV.
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