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Old 09-01-2007, 11:35 PM
neurotiq neurotiq is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 572
Default Re: Gutshot + 2 Overs. Do I continue?

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And, for the love of Shania, turn off chat.

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lol, good advice...

Why did I call? Well, SB could have two pair, a set, or a straight, but it's more likely, probabilistically, that he has a pair. I don't have any reads saying whether he would check-raise with just a pair, but having a 1.32 AF when he plays 43% of hands isn't too low (it wouldn't be that high if he had a more reasonable vpip, but playing a lot of junk and still having that AF rings some bells). So, I can't really conclusively determine that he has better than a pair, so I count most of my outs as full and in that sized pot, I'm getting better than 4.88:1 (which would be 8 outs). And I'm not even counting implied odds here; it seems like I have plenty of odds to continue...
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