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Old 08-31-2007, 07:20 PM
kenny7 kenny7 is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
Location: donking of money
Posts: 225
Default Re: $200 Caesar\'s 12 pm JJ hand vs. tourist

I play alot live and I've been in this situation...alot!!!

Actually,since it is live,I think this is totally read dependent.If he is,as you say,your standard "first-time-in-a-casino-tourist" I'd say that the likelyhood of him having a draw are almost zero. Average live player will c/c here almost always.

That means he either has a Q or a T. If your read is accurate,that he was uncertain about calling or folding pre,I think you are good here. AQ,KQ,JQ suited or not instacalls,QT c/c this flop,that leaves Q9 and Q8 as the only likely holdings.

Really?? Yup,Weggies said it,sooooted they look oh so good to your average tourist.

I actually think you might be good here,wouldn't at all be surprised if he turns over T/9. Then again,you better be sure of your read preflop. I know it's unlikely,and a lot easier to see in real life,but if you did fall for the weak is strong act.....he's got AA here.

Anyway,if you are certain of your preflop read,I think you shove here,if not,just fold,wait for a better spot. If you really are the best player,in tourneys like these there will be other opportunities.
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