Re: When is Chasing justified
winningfish
-thanks for the advice. The scorn doesn't really bother me, since I know I have done a very poor job explaining the table dynamics; and since I have played a lot of hands since then and there is a reason this particular one bother me, it can't be good. Also "very good player" is a relative term, I was in a shady card house in the middle of the ghetto and not at my normal casino or online site where my self evaluation is different. I also use it for the CO, because I have played with him, and the way the min raise bet should be looked at. (He had a purpose with it and it was not a careless donkey move). I also know where the biggest leak in my game (live) is right now, I get loose when I get up.
While I made a mistake preflop (it was more of a weather baloon at the time due to lack of action, that got out of control), I found my self in a strange situation postflop. I flopped top set with a board that had very bad texture. From past experiences I knew a probe bet of about half the pot (I messed up the original intro and must of added a caller), would tell me a lot of information. If the two bad players involved made a flush, they would have pushed like they have done before. (if I would have bet $50, they would not have chased anything). If CO had a draw he would have called, air he would have folded (past experience with him) - but a min raise told me that he thought he had the nuts and was just pot building. So now I find myself in a very bad situation because of my previous misteps- but this is were I have the question about implied pot odds. At the table I estimate I am between a 5-1/4-1 dog (seeing both cards), but I think I am getting incredible implied odds. (I believe that the CO will not bet more than $40 because he doesn't want to chase off the other players, don't know why this is there number but that is just the way the table was working). What I thinking about is that the implied odds go down if the board pairs because the CO will slow down on the river and it will be hard to extract the needed value from him. Again I keep going back and forth on this one particular hand.
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