Re: $115 - Live 70ppl - QT 3-handed
Don't know what payouts are so I'll assume "0", "25", "100" - doesn't matter if 3rd gets money, only matters ratio between 2 jumps, 1:3 seems normalish(?).
Fold: You: 76, Shorty: 44, Big 160. ICM = 37.5
Call & lose: You 40, Shorty 80, Big 160. ICM = 20.5
Call & win: You 120, Big: 160 ICM = 57.1
So we're looking at -17 for losing and +19.6 for winning, we need to win 46.4%. So he needs to be pushing the top 45% {according to pokerstove, I don't like it's selection of top x% very much but it won't make much difference) for this to be a good call & that seems unrealistic. Even we we say he wouldn't shove JJ+,AK he still needs to be pushing >35%, so I don't think this is a good call without strong reads.
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