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Old 08-29-2007, 11:25 AM
thing85 thing85 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: 100NL but I like uNL too much to leave
Posts: 3,672
Default Re: player props

I was bored, so I thought I'd check up on how the player props are doing as we have ~34 games left in the season.

Joe Blanton under 15.5 W - Currently has 11 wins; Assuming he doesn't win 5 of his last 6-7 starts, this one looks like a winner.

Ervin Santana under 15 W - This is either a win or a no action. He needs to make 3 more starts for this bet to have action, so we'll see if LA allows him to do that.

Jon Garland under 16.5 W - With only 8 wins right now, winner.

Gary Matthews Jr. under .302 BA - Barring some sort of supernatural heater, this one's a winner (he's batting .264 right now).

Bobby Jenks under 38 Sv - Despite how bad the Sox have been, this one is more likely a loser (36 saves right now).

Francisco Rodriguez over 1.90 ERA - 2.75 ERA currently, probably a winner.

Justin Morneau under 127 RBI - On pace for ~120 RBI, so this one could be close.

Mike Piazza over 59.5 RBI - No action (only 60 games played so far).

Takashi Saito under 35.5 Sv - Loser (36 saves)

Ben Sheets over 170 K - Loser or no action (probably needs to make all of his remaining starts for this to be actioned, with only 19 starts currently).

Huston Street over 2.24 ERA - Could be close, with a 2.78 ERA currently. Only has 35 IP, so it won't take much to bring that ERA down.

Justin Verlander under 15.5 W - With 14 wins right now, probably a loser.

Barry Zito under 16 W - Easy money (probably).

Not too bad overall. It looks like we're winning 7-8 of the 10-12 plays that will have action. If I have time later, I'll probably take a look at the team wins props.
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