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Old 08-29-2007, 05:24 AM
jt1 jt1 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Columbus, OH
Posts: 2,894
Default Re: Sort of crappy river

Ahh yes, You are oop, aren't you? Villain doesn't seem as strong now. I would definitely c/c. I definitely think you are ahead here 1/13 times even if he bets. This is a blind battle, you have two pair, villain is a hyper LAG and he didn't raise the turn.

Redundant info put in for my sake:

Bet/folding is bad because 1/25 times or so he'll bluff raise you and you'll get an extra bet (+1 more than from check/calling) less than half the time he doesn't bluff.
Bet/calling is bad because he won't raise often enough to justify the call
Check/calling may induce a strange bluff from a hand like 96, you'll never fold the winner and other hands that you beat may still bet for value.
Check/folding is bad because he'll bet AJ or 96 or J8 or even J7 more than 1/13 times.
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