Re: 50NL - River spot vs. a tilter
Crap. I guess it could be KQ or KJ, but I sure am expecting to see QJ if I call (two pair is possible too, but QJ really is the obvious hand).
Despite the reasons Villain has to be on tilt, I think I'd trust those AF stats and fold unless I'd seen actual evidence of impulsive big bets from Villain. And it sounds like you haven't, although I agree that insistent calling from a 37/14 guy does indicate a form of tilt of its own.
Tough spot. I mean, you are getting nearly 3:1, so I certainly don't hate a call or anything. I think it's close.
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