[DawnToDusk]

I check behind a lot on the turn too with my overpairs and reevaluate the river. Lets give our vill a PF range. I think any PP is reasonable if we have deduced that 44 can be in his range, and this is one way he might play 44 on the turn. Maybe some suited/unsuited broadway cards too like JTs+ and KQ+. We don't know if he 3bets AK and 99+ (or any other hands for that matter) PF yet since it is such a small sample size.

On the flop he is faced with a bet which he calls and then a C/R which he also calls. Since there are know high cards or flush draws possible I think we can take out our broadway cards. We may even want to take out our higher and medium PP too BECAUSE he has had the chance to reraise twice. He has to have some stones to not throw in a raise with his PP there and continue to slowplay. So lets not completely take it out but for the moment lets leave it out for now. Lets Stove up some equity for our hand.

Board: 5h 3c 6s 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.576% 27.27% 05.30% 216 42.00 { 6c5c }
Hand 1: 67.424% 62.12% 05.30% 492 42.00 { 88-77, 44-33 }
Pretty bad situation with us in this spot if we think he only has these hands here. He probably has a little wider range so lets throw back in some of the hands he could be slowplaying.

Board: 5h 3c 6s 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.343% 51.52% 07.83% 1224 186.00 { 6c5c }
Hand 1: 40.657% 32.83% 07.83% 780 186.00 { 77+, 44-33 }


Here we have even better pot equity. This would also be a case for calling but I think we will find this scenario less often.

I don't know but also throwing in 34s and 56s might be reasonable too. His stats may say otherwise but we also only have like 20 hands on him. I might even throw in 78 here too. On boards like these where if there is a chance to make 4 to a straight (without any gaps) I will call gutshots a lot if I think I someone else might overplay there one card straight to the high end a lot.

Here is the equity with a wider range:

Board: 5h 3c 6s 4s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 55.611% 47.69% 07.92% 1343 223.00 { 6c5c }
Hand 1: 44.389% 36.47% 07.92% 1027 223.00 { 77+, 44-33, 87s, 7c6c, 7d6d, 7h6h, 6d5d, 5c4c, 5d4d, 4d3d, 4h3h }

Not the best but we are a slight favorite and are getting 1-to-1 on the money.

And another thing is big bets usually mean big hands. He may be bluffing here but we probably have to assign it a small percentage of the time.