Re: NFL Wins total Question
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Bens correct, but the answer probably wasn't very helpful (par for the course there).
You should probably get out Excel (or OpenOffice if you're an anarchist) and play around with the BINOMDIST function. Create a column numbered 0..16. Use 7.5/16 = 0.46875 for the probability, 16 for the number of trials - the season length, and reference the corresponding cell in the 0..16 column to determine how likely it is to win a given number of games.
This really isn't all that difficult once you get a little intuition about how it works. Good luck.
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Handing out your rice bowl is -EV.
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