Re: Man Utd to win 3+ trophies - help me find a good line
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if you convert these to probabilities of winning (A,B,C,D), you should be able to figure out the chance of winning 3+ by ABC + ABD + ACD + BCD and then convert it back to an odds line.
may be a simpler fashion but that'll get you there.
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well as I said I don't think you can consider the events to be independent, they will have a lesser chance of winning the premiership if they are still in all three competitions come April. Also they can only win the Super Cup if they win the Champions League (or in an exceptional case, the UEFA Cup).
Also, I don't think that formula is correct anyway since this counts ABCD multiple times.
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