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Old 08-25-2007, 10:19 PM
4CardStraight 4CardStraight is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Twin Cities, MN
Posts: 560
Default Re: Sick satellite KK spot

If we fold this, arent we going to have to double up twice to get a seat, against some of the very best?

If so, taking 20% chance to lock in a seat if we know he has AA doesnt seem all that terrible. There might be a couple percent chance that it isn't AA, and he is just pulling a super squeeze...

I think I would need to see the aces face up to fold KK as the fourth stack by a stretch with 3 seats on the line. This is pretty close, but its certainly possible this is a multi-level thinking issue.

Given these stack sizes and players, arent you at about a 20% chance of getting a seat anyway? And if so, doesnt winning this pot just about lock you in? Maybe we have to take it even if it is aces.

And why arent we just pushing preflop. <20BB is perfectly acceptable to open push, and one of these guys may well put you on hand way worse than what you have and call to bust you. Shrug
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