Thread: (5.5) 45-man
View Single Post
  #3  
Old 08-25-2007, 10:08 AM
4CardStraight 4CardStraight is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Twin Cities, MN
Posts: 560
Default Re: (5.5) 45-man

I dont think you can put in a third of your stack and fold to a shove.

I think this is a terrible fold.

Hand 0: 41.131% 39.15% 02.05% 1485682 77740.83 { TT+, AKs }
Hand 1: 34.986% 33.23% 01.81% 1261261 68636.50 { 99+, AQs+ }
Hand 2: 23.883% 21.24% 02.69% 805950 101908.00 { AKo }

We are looking at a call of 2250 to win 11580, so we need 19.4% equity in the pot for a call. If we put them on top 2.5% and top 3.3% hands we still have equity to make a call, even giving us a 10-15% extra value to the chips in our stack.

Just a gut check, dont put a third of your stack in and fold, is a pretty good motto to live by. In order to not have our 19% equity in the pot we need to have ranges like

Hand 0: 50.732% 50.00% 00.74% 1756820 25848.83 { QQ+ }
Hand 1: 30.382% 28.58% 01.80% 1004309 63316.67 { TT+, AKs }
Hand 2: 18.885% 17.43% 01.46% 612477 51174.33 { AKo }

So... SB is folding Jacks here? UTG is folding 99? Both of them are folding AKo? I doubt it.
Reply With Quote