[jakeduke]

If I'm gonna pick between having this be his first bluff or his first slowplay I think I'm gonna pick slowplay. Isn't this just a guessing game though? I mean, you can do some math to figure out how often you need this to work, but that could be tough since you basically have no idea what kind of hand he's doing it with.

Keep in mind though, if he's semibluffing here with, say, OESFDs, NFD + a gutshot (or a pair), or GS + FD, you're giving him proper odds to call the push. I just think your play assumes he's got complete air here a ton, and I don't think you have the proper read on your opponent to assume that.