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Old 08-23-2007, 04:22 PM
AlexM AlexM is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Imaginationland
Posts: 5,200
Default Re: Ron Paul Wins Alabama/New Hampshire Straw Polls by Landslide

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The more individualistic the candidate's supporters, the less accurate the polling. Polls concerning standard elections are going to be pretty accurate because both parties' supporters aren't amazingly individualistic.


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Do you have any data to support this assertion? If this trend existed, it doesn't seem like it shouldn't be hard to demonstrate by comparing past election results of "individualistic" candidates to their poll numbers.

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I think iron or someone posted a link to a study that said pollsters have found no significant difference between those they are unable to contact compared to those that they are able to. And even if there were, once they understand the nature of those they are unable to contact, they can adjust the data.

Statistics just looks like voodoo, but surprisingly, it works 95% of the time. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

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If they can't contact them, how is it possible for them to measure this?
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