Re: NL25: fold bottom set?
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You guys are completely underestimating how often people play 2p this way. Ad2d, 6d7d, A8, A5, even 85? If you're going to fold when you hit a set with a small pp with this kind of board, then don't play small pp.
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2 pairs aren't missing a flop checkraise, they're leading out.
This is the kind of hand where you go "DUMDEDUM I HAS A SET ARRINARRINARRIN o wtf how could he have 34 there poker is rigged." This seperates winners from marginal winners, marginal winners from breakeven players, and breakeven players from losing players.
Going broke with no reads and not defining your villain's hand with the 5th nuts is a good way to, well, go broke.
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Even if he exposed his 34 I think getting it all-in here is +EV. I'd be alot more worried about 55 or 88, but if he happens to have that it is just bad luck.
Bottom line, Getting it all-in here is +EV even against a fairly nitty opponent. I really believe he will get all his money in with A8 and other two pair hands.
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