Re: Downswings.
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I use pokertracker to find out if a downswing is due to bad luck or bad play.For example i take the stats from the whole of last year(800k hands) and look at how many BB/100 i made with my premium hands.Then i compare this to the month where i am running badly.If i make much less BB/100 with those premium hands i think it is mostly due to bad luck.That is because i imagine that you play those premium hands the same most of the time,no matter how you run.
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If you miss value bets because youre scared of running bad or the like that would be a form of tilt= decrease winrate.
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