[Ringmaster]

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I would snapcall and wouldnt be surprised to see JJ or AK.

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He's done this 5 times, each time with AA, and you want to put JJ and AK in his range because...?

[/ QUOTE ]The chances of him doing this only 5 times and getting called everytime so OP saw what he pushed with is slim to none to begin with.Im guessing OP saw him flip AA a few times in this situation,but if hes that bad why assume hed never make a similar bad play with another holding.Call!!!!!!!!

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We don't need to see what he has every time. All we know is that, out of a sample of 5 times, he's had AA 5 times and other hands 0 times. If he's doing this with a range as wide as JJ+, AK the probability that he has AA when he open pushes is 6/40 = 15%. This means that the chances he happened to have AA all 5 times out of a sample of 5 is (.15)^5 = 0.000076.

Putting him on a range this wide given the evidence is unreasonable. At the very least, we need to weight his range heavily in favour of AA, which makes this a tough call.