[smurfitup]

really depends on how much of a donkey he is. if we only include pocket pairs in his range, then you beat 22-66 (obv 55 is impossible) and you lose to 88 and 99 (let's figure he'd raise preflop with the other pps and that he'd c-r the turn w/ tt). if all the pps are equally likely, then this is an easy bet. throw in some random Ax garbage in there (again, depends on just how much of a donkey he is... would he call 2 cold here w/ ace high?) then you have to worry about AT and AQ, but i think, given all these possibilities, you'll win more than 50% of the time when you bet. so.. bet!